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惠譽維持香港「AA-」信用評級 料今年經濟增長3.5%
評級機構惠譽確認香港的長期外幣發行人違約評等為「AA-」,評級展望「穩定」,認為香港的評級受穩健的外部財政狀況、較高的人均收入以及相對於「AA」評級地區有較強財政資產負債表所支持。惠譽預測,香港今年經濟增長仍將維持在3.5%的強勁水平,與去年持平,相信AI相關電子產品的強勁全球需求、穩健的融資管道以及不斷增長的遊客數量將繼續支持商品及服務出口。同時,在零售銷...
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惠譽維持香港「AA-」信用評級 料今年經濟增長3.5%
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評級機構惠譽確認香港的長期外幣發行人違約評等為「AA-」,評級展望「穩定」,認為香港的評級受穩健的外部財政狀況、較高的人均收入以及相對於「AA」評級地區有較強財政資產負債表所支持。

惠譽預測,香港今年經濟增長仍將維持在3.5%的強勁水平,與去年持平,相信AI相關電子產品的強勁全球需求、穩健的融資管道以及不斷增長的遊客數量將繼續支持商品及服務出口。同時,在零售銷售復甦下,私人消費將繼續推動增長,低失業率以及樓市趨向穩定亦將起到支持作用。

惠譽預計,香港政府在2026財年剔除發債及償債後的綜合財政赤字佔GDP的比例,將從上個財年估計的2.8%收窄至2.4%。另外,由於股票交易印花稅收入強勁增長以及利得稅收入增加,將可讓政府在2026財年能夠透過稅收減免及優惠政策為家庭與企業提供更多支持,但預計政府從外匯基金轉撥至基本工程儲備基金會的做法不會成為常規撥款。

不過,惠譽認為,香港的增長前景仍易受中東衝突持續以及貿易緊張局勢再度升級所影響,有可能會令轉口貿易及物流活動轉趨疲弱,以及受中國經濟增長放緩的溢出效應所拖累,預期香港中期經濟增長介乎2.5%至3%。(mn/da)

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