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<Research>HSBC Research Slashes MEITUAN-W (03690.HK) TP to $125, Expects Instant Retail Competition to Persist
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MEITUAN-W (03690.HK) faced more intensified competition in its food delivery and on-demand retail businesses than expected, leading to a larger-than-anticipated profit decline in 2Q25, HSBC Global Research noted.

Despite increased subsidies, the broker estimated the Group's on-demand retail order growth to lag behind industry level as it prioritized retaining high-quality orders and users. HSBC Global Research lowered its 2025-2027 revenue forecasts for MEITUAN-W by 5-6% to reflect the heavier subsidy burden.

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The broker significantly lowered its profit forecasts due to rising subsidies, meanwhile forecasting that losses in the food delivery business will bottom out in 3Q25. However, competition in the on-demand retail sector is expected to persist amid the potential emergence of new competitors.

Therefore, HSBC Global Research slashed its target price for MEITUAN-W by 21.9% to $125 from $160, with rating kept at Buy.
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