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<Econ> Germany Apr Factory Orders MoM -3.8% Miss; Commerzbank Warns 2Q26 Econ May "Mildly Contract"
Affected by the conflict involving Iran and a sharp rise in energy costs, the Federal Statistical Office of Germany announced that, after seasonal and calendar adjustments, Germany...
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<Econ> Germany Apr Factory Orders MoM -3.8% Miss; Commerzbank Warns 2Q26 Econ May "Mildly Contract"
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Affected by the conflict involving Iran and a sharp rise in energy costs, the Federal Statistical Office of Germany announced that, after seasonal and calendar adjustments, Germany's factory orders in April fell 3.8% MoM, worse than market expectations for a 2% decline. The previous figure was revised down to a 4.5% increase. After calendar adjustment, orders rose 1.6% YoY, with the previous figure revised to a 6.1% increase.

The German Ministry for Economic Affairs said in a statement that there are increasing signs that rising energy and commodity prices, together with significantly heightened geopolitical uncertainty, are increasingly leading to weaker demand, particularly for capital goods. Against the backdrop of rising costs, greater uncertainty and worsening supply chain bottlenecks, industrial activity may only continue to record modest growth in the coming months.

Ongoing trade tensions between the United States and the European Union, as well as an expected interest rate hike by the European Central Bank this week, may pose further headwinds to the German economy. Joerg Kraemer, Chief Economist of Commerzbank, also warned that the German economy could "mildly contract" in the second quarter. (da/u)~

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